The Container Charter Market Closes 2024 with Historic Figures
The charter market has solidified 2024 as its best year since the pandemic, driven by consistent demand and record-high rates. According to Alphaliner, December rates tripled those recorded in January, highlighting remarkable growth in the industry.
A Frenzied November and Christmas Calm
After an active November with high levels of concluded contracts, the market has begun to slow down, anticipating the usual Christmas pause. Nevertheless, the year-end remains extremely positive for non-operating vessel owners (NOOs). The shortage of vessels over 2,000 TEUs and firm demand have kept rates healthy.
2024: A Year of Steady Growth
Compared to 2023, 2024 exceeded expectations due to two main factors: the limited capacity supply and solid demand across most segments. Alphaliner’s charter rate index (ACI) reached its highest historical level outside the exceptional peaks of 2021 and 2022, when the pandemic triggered container demand.
On December 10, the ACI index showed rates nearly three times higher than in January, driven by:
- Geopolitical crises: The crisis in the Red Sea forced route diversions via the Cape of Good Hope, increasing capacity demand by 10% to 15%.
- Economic recovery: Stronger-than-expected global cargo demand, with an estimated 6.5% increase in the first nine months, thanks to reduced inflation in developed countries.
Vessel Supply and Capacity Absorption
In 2024, 3 million TEUs of new vessel capacity were delivered—a record figure that was absorbed more easily than anticipated. This bolstered demand for chartered tonnage, resulting in rates doubling compared to 2023, particularly for larger vessels.
At the same time, freight rates saw a significant rebound, boosting carriers’ financial results, especially in the second half of the year.
Container Charter Market Outlook for 2025
Projections for the 2025 charter market are tied to geopolitical factors and the future of the Red Sea crisis:
- Reopening of the Suez Canal: If the Suez route normalizes, the additional 2 million TEUs expected in 2025 could create an oversupply of capacity. This would primarily affect larger vessels, which are harder to reposition on alternative routes.
- Crisis Continuation: If the situation persists, the market could enjoy another strong year, though it remains to be seen whether cargo demand will be sufficient to absorb new builds.
The container charter market in 2024 benefited from a unique combination of economic and geopolitical factors, achieving record rates and a remarkable balance between supply and demand. However, the outlook for 2025 will largely depend on resolving the Red Sea crisis and the evolution of global demand.
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